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Orleanzieta

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Orleanzieta last won the day on August 15

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About Orleanzieta

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  1. So here's my excuse for starting a thread before I forget about it. Moreover, I feel like this should be accessable interregionally as such a topic may he of import for all of us on the Left the future. Though I may repost this to the RMB anyhow. The international stage has been led solely by Liberal Capitalist American order since the height of the Perestroika crisis and the dissolution of the USSR. Now that the US has revelled in Neo-Colonial supremacy and rampant expenditure of military resources on questionable interventionist campaigns, it seems to be on a very steady decline. This decline has been marked not only by rampant interventionism, but also by the 2008 market recession along with a marked decrease in international economic output compared to past decades and in recent years, the increasingly distrustful relations between NATO signatories and with the 2016 election, a massive political soap drama around Russian meddling and a national Executive in disrepair. This also goes without mentioning the ever increasing social cynacism present in the American public concerning the competency of the government. So with the old rules and it's guardians going to the door, the balance of power is slowly being rearranged. While Russia is emergent and still very powerful despite it's flaws, the one power that seems destined to fill the void is the People's Republic of China. With it's foreign policy being a very "advance one step and hold firm" concerning regional relations, it seems it also seeks to expand internationally, as with the expansion of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank and it's interest in investing military resources internationally (see: Djibouti base). With it's general economic capacity already outpacing that of the US and by current trends, would seem to keep increasing well into the next couple of decades, it seems inevitable that the PRC is destined to lead a new international order in the near future; Pax Americana as we know it will be replaced heart and soul. This new order is obviously going to be very, very different. In it's ideals, it's methods, and in the case of the PRC's interests, it will be a very different set of rules to play by. Though interestingly enough it would sort of be a return to an old historical standard of straightforward diplomacy between well-established states, rather than the Cold War era and afterward where US diplomacy can change drastically every few years. This also brings forward our status as living representatives of the proletariat in how we may fit into this order. We all have our opinions on the PRC as it is now. Whether we think it to be blantant State Capitalism, a Neo-Imperial model, or probably going through a certain planned economic phase, it is still at least on the surface, a one-party Marxist state. So despite it being a far cry from old Maoism and even general pre-war Communist theory, would we see a resurgence of Socialism on an international scale? China has never been shy of supporting revolutions, though never quite to the extent of the old Soviet Union, so can we see revolutions bloom without international capitalist interference? Or would China not be indifferent to revolutions at best and at worst, seek to defeat revolutionaries that do not seek Chinese favour? If many international revolutions do succeed, would China reaffirm it's old Maoistic tendencies and seek solidarity or would it be more interested in seeking potential client states, whether or not they be Socialist? Here are some decent (lazy) enough sources for my claim. Not much I know, but it's late at night and I don't feel like doing extensive research. But please post your own sources as I would be happy to read and evaluate. http://www.aljazeera.com/amp/news/2017/07/china-open-overseas-military-base-djibouti-170712135241977.html https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/the-aiib-and-the-one-belt-one-road/ https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Belt_and_Road_Initiative http://thediplomat.com/2016/11/chinas-domestic-debate-on-global-governance/
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